tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:20 ABQ → 17:50 DEN
    UA 725 · United · 1h 30m · 55% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DEN → 21:50 MSP
    UA 2076 · United · 2h 05m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 30mABQ 16:20 to MSP 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.