Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Reno via San Francisco: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:30 SEA → 15:48 SFO
    UA 737 · United · 2h 18m · 56% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 SFO → 17:59 RNO
    UA 1613 · United · 1h 14m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip4h 29mSEA 13:30 to RNO 17:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.