tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:13 OMA → 17:05 ORD
    UA 739 · United · 1h 52m · 69% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 21:19 PHL
    UA 1776 · United · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 06mOMA 15:13 to PHL 21:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.