tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 90%

  1. 17:26 BZN → 19:07 LAX
    UA 741 · United · 2h 41m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:22 LAX → 22:59 PHX
    UA 5458 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 33mBZN 17:26 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.