tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 23:11 SEA → 05:18 ORD
    UA 747 · United · 4h 07m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:15 ORD → 10:30 PHL +1 day
    UA 2038 · United · 2h 15m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 19mSEA 23:11 to PHL 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.