Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:02 CLE → 16:20 IAD
    UA 780 · United · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 IAD → 18:42 LGA
    UA 4077 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 27m · 77% on time, 13.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (13.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 40mCLE 15:02 to LGA 18:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.