tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Minneapolis via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:16 MCO
    UA 788 · United · 2h 46m · 96% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:17 MCO → 13:46 MSP
    DL 1730 · Delta · 3h 29m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 16mEWR 06:30 to MSP 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.