tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Orlando: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 09:16 MCO
    UA 788 · United · 2h 46m · 96% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 MCO → 13:45 TYS
    WN 2116 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 15mEWR 06:30 to TYS 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.