tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Pittsburgh via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:38 BWI → 20:02 ORD
    UA 791 · United · 2h 24m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:59 PIT
    UA 3464 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 21mBWI 18:38 to PIT 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.