tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Long Beach via Denver: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:15 IAD → 10:10 DEN
    UA 792 · United · 3h 55m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:05 DEN → 15:35 LGB
    WN 4259 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip10h 15mIAD 08:15 to LGB 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.