tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fairbanks via Anchorage: arrives on time 85%

  1. 16:10 ORD → 19:54 ANC
    UA 841 · United · 6h 44m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:58 ANC → 23:59 FAI
    AS 2277 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip10h 49mORD 16:10 to FAI 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.