tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Burbank via Denver: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:00 SMF → 19:20 DEN
    WN 1001 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 DEN → 21:50 BUR
    WN 1497 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip5h 50mSMF 16:00 to BUR 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.