tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Baltimore: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:40 TPA → 13:00 BWI
    WN 1016 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 BWI → 16:40 BHM
    WN 3656 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 00mTPA 10:40 to BHM 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.