tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Islip via Baltimore: arrives on time 61%

  1. 10:40 TPA → 13:00 BWI
    WN 1016 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 BWI → 17:15 ISP
    WN 4126 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 35mTPA 10:40 to ISP 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.