tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via Denver: arrives on time 6%

  1. 15:40 ORF → 17:35 DEN
    WN 1037 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 DEN → 22:05 BNA
    WN 1488 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection20%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 80% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (20%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip7h 25mORF 15:40 to BNA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.