tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 92%

  1. 13:50 BWI → 16:20 PDX
    WN 1048 · Southwest · 5h 30m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:59 PDX → 22:30 SNA
    AS 518 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip11h 40mBWI 13:50 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.