tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 47%

  1. 07:00 BWI → 08:50 PHX
    WN 1049 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 PHX → 11:20 SAN
    WN 3322 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 52% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 20mBWI 07:00 to SAN 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.