tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:00 BWI → 08:50 PHX
    WN 1049 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 SJC
    WN 3336 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 35mBWI 07:00 to SJC 11:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.