tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 31%

  1. 07:00 BWI → 08:50 PHX
    WN 1049 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 PHX → 12:00 SFO
    WN 4603 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 36% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip8h 00mBWI 07:00 to SFO 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.