tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 15:45 BWI → 17:35 PHX
    WN 1050 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 61% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 PHX → 21:35 BUR
    WN 3248 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 43% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip8h 47mBWI 15:45 to BUR 21:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.