tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Long Beach via Phoenix: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:45 BWI → 17:35 PHX
    WN 1050 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 61% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 PHX → 20:30 LGB
    WN 4352 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 45mBWI 15:45 to LGB 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.