tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Charlotte via Baltimore: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:40 RDU → 18:50 BWI
    WN 1063 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 68% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 BWI → 21:40 CLT
    WN 915 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 56% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 05mRDU 17:40 to CLT 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.