tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Baltimore: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:40 RDU → 18:50 BWI
    WN 1063 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 68% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 BWI → 23:30 LAS
    WN 977 · Southwest · 5h 10m · 50% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip8h 55mRDU 17:40 to LAS 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.