tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

West Palm Beach → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:40 PBI → 17:05 BWI
    WN 1072 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 BWI → 19:35 DTW
    WN 4159 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 55mPBI 14:40 to DTW 19:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.