tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:00 BWI → 17:20 SAN
    WN 1088 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 42% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 SAN → 19:55 OAK
    WN 3017 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 55mBWI 15:00 to OAK 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.