tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Dallas via San Diego: arrives on time 10%

  1. 15:00 BWI → 17:20 SAN
    WN 1088 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 42% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 SAN → 23:15 DAL
    WN 3492 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip9h 10mBWI 15:00 to DAL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.