tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 42%

  1. 15:00 BWI → 17:20 SAN
    WN 1088 · Southwest · 5h 20m · 42% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 SAN → 22:35 OAK
    WN 4841 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip10h 35mBWI 15:00 to OAK 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.