tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Miami via St Louis: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:25 BWI → 07:45 STL
    WN 1109 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 STL → 14:46 MIA
    AA 3954 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 21mBWI 06:25 to MIA 14:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.