tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Fort Myers via Nashville: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:25 STL → 12:35 BNA
    WN 1110 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 BNA → 16:30 RSW
    WN 657 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 05mSTL 11:25 to RSW 16:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.