tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Atlanta via St Louis: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:55 BWI → 19:15 STL
    WN 1111 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 62% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 STL → 22:40 ATL
    WN 3883 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 45mBWI 17:55 to ATL 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.