tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 22%

  1. 11:15 BZN → 12:55 DEN
    WN 1131 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:42 DEN → 16:40 MSP
    WN 1638 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 25mBZN 11:15 to MSP 16:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.