tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 18%

  1. 14:42 BZN → 16:28 DEN
    WN 1132 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DEN → 18:30 LAS
    WN 1564 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 48mBZN 14:42 to LAS 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.