tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 5%

  1. 14:42 BZN → 16:28 DEN
    WN 1132 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DEN → 18:15 PHX
    WN 1682 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 21% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time5%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (21%).
Total trip4h 33mBZN 14:42 to PHX 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.