tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Denver: arrives on time 4%

  1. 14:42 BZN → 16:28 DEN
    WN 1132 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DEN → 23:00 LGA
    WN 4480 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 25% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (25%).
Total trip6h 18mBZN 14:42 to LGA 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.