tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:15 BZN → 11:25 LAS
    WN 1136 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 LAS → 13:50 PHX
    WN 2311 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 35mBZN 10:15 to PHX 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.