tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Newark via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 19:15 BZN → 20:25 LAS
    WN 1137 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:45 LAS → 07:41 EWR +1 day
    UA 406 · United · 4h 56m · 85% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 26mBZN 19:15 to EWR 07:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.