tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Denver via Las Vegas: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:15 BZN → 20:25 LAS
    WN 1137 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 LAS → 00:40 DEN +1 day
    WN 2230 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 49% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 30mBZN 19:15 to DEN 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.