tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 18%

  1. 19:15 BZN → 20:25 LAS
    WN 1137 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 LAS → 23:15 SFO
    WN 2345 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 26% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip5h 05mBZN 19:15 to SFO 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.