tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 9%

  1. 13:50 BZN → 15:30 SAN
    WN 1139 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 SAN → 17:50 LAS
    WN 4111 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (16%).
Total trip5h 00mBZN 13:50 to LAS 17:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.