tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 PDX → 11:50 MDW
    WN 1148 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MDW → 14:10 STL
    WN 2902 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 10mPDX 06:00 to STL 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.