tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 95%

  1. 22:25 PHX → 05:40 BWI
    WN 1170 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 BWI → 11:00 TPA +1 day
    WN 1120 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 35mPHX 22:25 to TPA 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.