Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 40%

  1. 09:30 BWI → 11:45 SAN
    WN 1181 · Southwest · 5h 15m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 SAN → 14:20 SMF
    WN 1700 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 50mBWI 09:30 to SMF 14:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.