tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:30 MDW → 08:20 LAS
    WN 1182 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 LAS → 11:10 SMF
    WN 1122 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 40mMDW 06:30 to SMF 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.