tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:30 MDW → 08:20 LAS
    WN 1182 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:12 LAS → 10:38 RNO
    WN 3179 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 02mMDW 06:30 to RNO 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.