tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 20:08 CMH → 20:22 MDW
    WN 1200 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 MDW → 23:25 SAN
    WN 2884 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 52% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 17mCMH 20:08 to SAN 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.