tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Houston via Phoenix: arrives on time 19%

  1. 15:25 CMH → 16:30 PHX
    WN 1202 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 PHX → 22:00 HOU
    WN 4203 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip7h 35mCMH 15:25 to HOU 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.