tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Raleigh/Durham via Indianapolis: arrives on time 42%

  1. 19:30 DEN → 12:32 IND
    WN 1211 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 37% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:40 IND → 16:25 RDU
    DL 4780 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 46m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip -304m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip-304mDEN 19:30 to RDU 16:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.