tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Washington via Indianapolis: arrives on time 44%

  1. 19:30 DEN → 12:32 IND
    WN 1211 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 37% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:52 IND → 16:44 DCA
    AA 5572 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 52m · 74% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip -286m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip-286mDEN 19:30 to DCA 16:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.