tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Lihue via Las Vegas: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:05 SMF → 08:30 LAS
    WN 1241 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 LAS → 12:45 LIH
    WN 2262 · Southwest · 6h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 40mSMF 07:05 to LIH 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.