tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:50 CVG → 17:15 BWI
    WN 1247 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 BWI → 20:05 MDW
    WN 1005 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 73% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 15mCVG 15:50 to MDW 20:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.